Saturday, March 31, 2012

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Republicans party has become the “Almond Joy Party”. Sometime they act like a nut and sometime they don’t.


By Travis Waldron on Mar 21, 2012 at 9:35 am

When House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) released his Medicare-ending, safety net-gutting 2012 budget plan last year, he was slammed by faith leaders who denounced his cuts to programs that aid the poor and middle class. Ryan released the 2013 version of that budget yesterday, and he is again facing criticism from a diverse group of faith leaders.

Ryan often says it is “morally wrong” not to address America’s debt, but faith leaders like Bishop Gene Robinson said the budget Ryan crafted fails basic moral tests. “The Ryan budget robs the poor, the marginalized and the vulnerable of the safety net so integral to their survival,” Robinson said. “By any measure of civility and regard for one’s neighbor, it is an immoral disaster.”
Father Thomas Kelly, a Catholic priest and constituent of Ryan’s, felt similarly:

As a constituent of Congressman Ryan and a Catholic priest, I’m disappointed by his cruel budget plan and outraged that he defends it on moral grounds. Ryan is Catholic, and he knows that justice for the poor and economic fairness are core elements of our church’s social teaching. It’s shameful that he disregarded these principles in his budget.”

That the GOP cuts vital programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and other safety net programs while giving tax breaks to the richest Americans is “immoral” and “unconscionable,” other leaders said. “The poor are not statistics,” Rabbi Jackie Moline said. “Whatever one thinks of Congressman Ryan’s ideas, it is unimaginable to look into the face of a child who would go hungry without government assistance and say, ‘Sorry — we need to reduce the deficit.’”


Santorum: Ryan budget plan ‘a great blueprint,’ but doesn’t cut enough
By Rosalind S. Helderman
As Democrats castigate a budget plan by Rep. Paul Ryan (Wisc.) for its deep safety social net cuts and dramatic tax cuts, criticism is coming more quietly from another corner: budget hawks who believe the proposal would not cut deeply or quickly enough.

Presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) termed the effort “very disappointing,” in a Tuesday statement. And he’s now been joined by fellow GOP candidate Rick Santorum, who told Glenn Beck later Tuesday that he believed Ryan’s spending plan is a “great blueprint” but he believes “we need to cut government spending faster” than the $5.3 trillion Ryan has proposed slashing over the next decade.

Santorum’s own plan calls for $5 trillion in cuts over five years. And he has said he believes Ryan would not move quickly enough on Medicare reform.

Ryan’s plan raises the Medicare eligibility age to 67 and caps spending on those who turn 65 after 2023, offering them a set amount with which to purchase private health insurance on newly created federal exchanges. He would also offer seniors traditional Medicare as an option, though it could cost them more than the cheaper private plans.

Santorum has said Medicare changes must be implemented immediately and not be imposed only on future retirees.

In the radio interview with Beck, Santorum said he spoke to Ryan about the budget last week. He offered general praise of its concepts, which include deep cuts to Medicaid and other domestic programs paired with a tax overhaul that would reduce the top rates on individuals and businesses to 25 percent
“He’s put forward a great blueprint for people to campaign upon and shows clearly progress dramatic progress in the direction of shrinking the size of government, and liberating the economy through lower taxes and less regulations,” he told Beck.

But of entitlement reform, Santorum said, “we need to move forward quicker” and he called for faster spending cuts.

Santorum was the only one of the presidential candidates not to release a statement about Ryan’s budget on Tuesday. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney quickly embraced the plan in a statement and comments to reporters, as did former House speaker Newt Gingrich.

Santorum’s more muted response may be connected to tricky politics in the House. Ryan’s budget faces a key vote on the Budget Committee he chairs on Wednesday. With Democrats unified in opposition, he can afford only two Republican defections or see an embarrassing defeat for what is designed to be the GOP’s leading election year campaign statement.

One conservative freshman—Rep. Tim Huelskamp of Kansas—has said he plans to vote against the plan.
“It’s good--but it’s not good enough or the type of bold statement I think Republicans need to make,” he said.

By Rosalind S. Helderman  |  10:14 AM ET, 03/21/2012 

GOP budget plan cuts deeply into domestic programs, reshapes Medicare, Medicaid
By Rosalind S. Helderman and Lori Montgomery, Published: March 20
House Republicans laid down a bold but risky election-year marker Tuesday, unveiling a budget proposal that aims to tame the national debt by reshaping Medicare and cutting deeply into Medicaid, food stamps and other programs for the poor, while reshuffling the tax code to sharply lower rates.
Congressional Republicans plan to use the document to demonstrate their willingness to tackle the nation’s difficult fiscal problems head-on. They argue that restraining future borrowing is a moral imperative and that entitlement programs for the elderly and the poor must be redrawn both to reduce red ink and to ensure that federal benefits continue to be available.

But the document — which pairs deep spending cuts with a reduction in the top tax rate paid by the wealthy — quickly provided new fodder for Democrats, who argued that Republicans would slash the social safety net while protecting the rich.

The proposal, authored by Budget Chairman Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), calls for spending cuts and tax changes that would put the nation on course to wipe out deficits and balance the budget by 2040. The national debt would continue to rise but would shrink to the historic norm as a percentage of an expanding economy.

But because Ryan and other Republicans reject higher taxes in any form, that path would require significant reductions in a host of popular federal programs.

Ryan calls for turning over to the states responsibility for the major federal programs for the poor, including Medicaid and food stamps, and giving recipients a deadline to find work and get off the government dole — much as welfare reform did to cash benefits in the late 1990s.

Federal education and job training programs would be consolidated and “modernized,” the plan says. And spending on Pell grants for college students would be reduced and retargeted toward low-income students most in need of assistance.

All told, Ryan proposes to slash federal spending by $5.3 trillion over the next decade compared with President Obama’s latest budget blueprint, with the biggest savings taken from health programs — including the repeal of Obama’s initiative to expand health coverage to the uninsured — and entitlements for the poor.

But it might not be enough for many tea party conservatives, who are demanding that Republicans balance the budget within the next 10 years. In an op-ed published Tuesday in the Wall Street Journal, Ryan argued that the plan offers “real spending discipline.”

“It does this not through indiscriminate cuts that endanger our military, but by ending the epidemic of crony politics and government overreach that has weakened confidence in the nation’s institutions and its economy. And it strengthens the safety net by returning power to the states, which are in the best position to tailor assistance to their specific populations,” he writes.

Ryan says he will stage a vote on the plan in the House Budget Committee on Wednesday, and that he has the necessary support to move it to the House floor. Even if it were to win approval, the blueprint would be rejected by the Democratic-controlled Senate. But Ryan said it would provide a foundation for the GOP’s election-year push for a radically smaller federal government.
“We owe the country an alternative path if we don’t like the path the president is taking us on. Whoever our nominee is going to be owes the country that choice of two futures. We’re helping them put this together,” Ryan said, adding that he has spoken with the major GOP candidates, who have all told him he is “on the right track.”

“Each of these people running for president have all given their various ideas and reforms that perfectly jive with and are consistent with what we’re proposing,” Ryan said.
Reaction from the White House was immediate and sharp.

“The House budget once again fails the test of balance, fairness, and shared responsibility,” White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer said in a statement. “It would shower the wealthiest few Americans with an average tax cut of at least $150,000, while preserving taxpayer giveaways to oil companies and breaks for Wall Street hedge fund managers. What’s worse is that all of these tax breaks would be paid for by undermining Medicare.”

On Medicare — a key flashpoint in a debate over Ryan’s budget a year ago — Ryan once again proposes to cap spending on future retirees, offering them a set amount with which to purchase private health insurance on newly created federal insurance exchanges.

In reaction to Democratic criticism that the plan “ends Medicare,” Ryan has tweaked that proposal: He now aims to preserve traditional Medicare as an option, though seniors could be required to pay significantly more for Medicare coverage if the program proved to be more expensive than the private plans.

Ryan said “this kind of Medicare reform is the most humane, the most common-sense and bipartisan way to save this vital program.” But though Ryan crafted the new variation with Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden (Ore.), Democrats have made clear that the veneer of bipartisanship will not inoculate him from a fresh round of political attack.

“The Republican proposal would end the Medicare guarantee, shift costs to seniors, and let Medicare wither on the vine, while providing billions in tax breaks for Big Oil and special interests, and destroying American jobs,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said in a statement.

On taxes, Ryan offers a bit more detail than he did last year about how Republicans would reshape the tax code. The proposal calls for replacing the current tax structure’s six brackets with just two: a 10 percent rate for lower-income earners and a 25 percent rate for upper-income earners.

That would be a reduction from the current top rate of 35 percent. Ryan also wants to wipe out the alternative minimum tax. And he calls for lowering the 35 percent tax on corporate profits to 25 percent and granting U.S. corporations a blanket exemption on profits earned overseas.

To pay for those changes, Ryan proposes to wipe out a vast array of deductions, credits and other tax breaks benefiting people and companies at virtually every income level. Neither he nor House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Dave Camp (R-Mich.) on Tuesday spelled out specifics, but tax experts said their proposal would almost certainly have to take a whack at expensive tax breaks such as those for home mortgage interest, employer-provided health insurance and retirement savings.

Republicans have been urging an overhaul that would make the tax code simpler and easier to understand while lowering rates, which they believe will spur economic growth and prove a politically potent election-year message. Ryan’s proposal is similar to ones offered by the GOP presidential candidates, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and former senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, though the candidates’ plans would dramatically reduce federal tax collections while Ryan’s would maintain them at current levels.

Although Ryan’s far-reaching blueprint presents many areas of ideological conflict with Democrats, the most pressing battle is likely to be fought offer a relatively small point: agency budgets for the fiscal year that begins in October.

Ryan proposes $1.028 trillion in total agency spending — $19 billion less than the cap set during last summer’s bitter showdown over raising the legal limit on government borrowing, known as the debt ceiling. Ryan also proposes to instruct six House committees to come up with proposals by May for generating additional savings and averting across-the-board cuts set to hit in January.

Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), the Democratic leader of a bipartisan congressional “supercommittee” that tried and failed to produce such a plan last fall, called the move “outrageous and deeply disappointing.”
“By desperately attempting to appease their extreme conservative base, House Republicans are reneging on a deal their own speaker shook on less than eight months ago,” she said. “They have shown that a deal with them isn’t worth the paper it’s printed on and they are threatening families across America yet again with the prospect of a government shutdown.”

House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) countered that the $1.047 trillion cap represents an upper limit, not an agreement.

“People have limits on credit cards. That doesn’t mean that you’re required to spend up to the limit, it just says you can’t spend anymore than that,” Boehner told reporters. “We all know that we’ve got a real fiscal problem here in Washington. And, frankly, we think we can do better.

GOP budget would cut auto loans, high-speed rail funds
BY DAVID SHEPARDSON 
DETROIT NEWS WASHINGTON BUREAU

Washington- A House Republican budget proposal would end all loan programs for green energy efforts including canceling up to $16 billion in unawarded funds for auto factory retooling — and funds for high-speed rail.

Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wisconsin, chairman of the House Budget Committee, and his colleagues proposed a budget alternative this week that would spend $5.3 trillion less over the next decade, as compared to the White House budget plan.

In 2007, President George W. Bush signed into law legislation creating the $25 billion Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing Program — a program to provide low-cost government loans to automakers to retool factories to build more fuel efficient models. Congress funded the program in September 2008. But the Energy Department has awarded just $8.4 billion and hasn't made a new award in more than a year.

The department has been reluctant to award new loans in the wake of the failure of Solyndra LLC, a solar panel startup that won $535 million in government loans that has filed for bankruptcy and laid off 1,100 workers.

Ryan's budget summary says it "would immediately terminate all programs that allow government to play venture capitalist with taxpayers' money." Senate leaders agreed this month not to consider an amendment filed by Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., that would have taken the remaining funding in the $25 billion retooling program and used it to fix roads. A fight over 20 percent of the funds in September nearly led to a government shutdown, but Democrats successfully restored the funding.

The bill also would cut transportation spending by a quarter, and would end all high-speed rail funds, saying they have "failed numerous and clear cost-benefit analyses." The budget says the government can't afford the projects. "However worthy some highway projects might be, their capacity as job creators has been vastly oversold as demonstrated by the extravagant but unfulfilled promises that accompanied the 2009 stimulus bill, particularly with regard to high-speed rail," the summary says.

Michigan has won about $200 million in federal funding to make high-speed rail a reality on the 135-mile section of the trip between Kalamazoo and Detroit — an effort to speed trains between Detroit and Chicago.

"In the wake of these failures, and with the federal government's fiscal challenges making long-term subsidization infeasible, high-speed rail and other new intercity rail projects should be pursued only if they can be established as self-supporting commercial services," the GOP budget proposal says.
The GOP budget proposal criticizes efforts to boost green energy, saying the administration "blocks proven domestic energy sources while spending recklessly on uncompetitive alternatives."

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GOP Unveils Budget Plan Cutting More Than $6T Over Next Decade
Published April 05, 2011 | FoxNews.com

House Republicans unveiled a budget proposal Tuesday that they claimed would avert a debt-driven "economic collapse" by cutting more than $6 trillion over the next decade. 

The proposal, unveiled by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., would overhaul two major entitlement programs and impose caps on government spending, with the goal of stabilizing and eventually paying down the debt. It is literally trillions of dollars apart from the budget President Obama released earlier in the year, and its release marks the start of what is expected to be a drag-out budget fight in Congress. 

"Our goal here is to leave our children and our grandchildren with a debt-free nation," Ryan said Tuesday. The congressman had tough words for Obama's 10-year budget plan, accusing the White House of speeding up the country's "descent into a debt crisis" by growing government. He also defended what is arguably his most controversial proposal -- an overhaul of Medicare which would subsidize private insurance policies for seniors. 

"The open-ended, blank-check nature of Medicare's subsidy mechanism is threatening the solvency of this critical program, and it is creating inexcusable levels of waste," Ryan said Tuesday afternoon, in a speech at the American Enterprise Institute. White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said that while the president shares Ryan's goal of tackling entitlements and balancing the budget, "We strongly disagree with his approach." He said the plan would put a "greater burden" on seniors and others in need. 

Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., Ryan's Democratic counterpart on the Budget Committee, accused Ryan of leaning too heavily on spending cuts to make up for tax breaks to corporations. "It is not courageous to protect tax breaks for millionaires, oil companies, and other big money special interests while slashing our investments in education, ending the current health care guarantees for seniors on Medicare and denying health care coverage to tens of millions of Americans," he said. "That's not courageous. It's wrong." 

But Republicans claim the tax code changes will spur economic growth, and that the changes to Medicare will ultimately save the program. Obama's 10-year budget proposal would cut deficits by $1.1 trillion, according to the White House. Compared against Obama's plan, the GOP counterproposal claims to cut deficits by $4.4 trillion. Republicans say they would cut spending by $6.2 trillion compared with the president's budget. 

Ryan says the "Path to Prosperity" plan will bring federal spending to below 20 percent of gross domestic product, less than Obama's 23 percent and consistent with the postwar average. Though it contains trillions in spending cuts, it still would not come close to paying down the nation's currently $14 trillion debt by the end of the decade. However, a chart released by House Republicans projects that happening by about 2050 under the GOP plan. 

In a Wall Street Journal column, Ryan cited a study released by the conservative Heritage Center for Data Analysis projecting his plan will create nearly 1 million new private-sector jobs next year, reduce the unemployment rate to 4 percent by 2015 and add 2.5 million more private-sector jobs in the last year of the decade. 

The plan, which Ryan outlines in a video made available on YouTube, also proposes welfare reforms in the way of Medicaid block grants, a consolidation of job-training programs and changes to food-stamp distribution. On the Medicaid proposal, 17 governors wrote to Congress this week claiming the plan would "shift costs and risk to states." 

The GOP plan also calls for reforms to the nation's "outdated tax code, consolidating brackets, lowering tax rates, and assuming top individual and corporate rates of 25 percent," Ryan wrote. "It maintains a revenue-neutral approach by clearing out a burdensome tangle of deductions and loopholes that distort economic activity and leave some corporations paying no income taxes at all." Among some of the likely more controversial plans are efforts to end the conservatorship of mortgage giants, an elimination of Wall Street bailout authority and a rollback of "expensive handouts for uncompetitive sources of energy." 

The GOP proposal coincides with the ongoing debate over the remainder of the fiscal 2011 budget. Both parties are trying to hammer out a half-year budget before the deadline for a partial government shutdown Friday. Obama invited Speaker of the House John Boehner to the White House Tuesday for a meeting with Vice President Joe Biden, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and top negotiators on the appropriation committees in the hope of fostering a solution for the rest of the year. As for the GOP proposal for 2012, Ryan knows that it is ambitious and expects Democrats to attack the plan, including revisions to Medicare's entitlement system. Social Security would largely remain untouched. 

For Medicare, Ryan says the GOP proposal will be modeled after the "premium support" system outlined in an earlier proposal co-authored by him and former White House Budget Director Alice Rivlin. Such a proposal would provide a fixed amount of government assistance toward premiums in the private health plan of seniors' choosing. The program would go into effect for new beneficiaries starting in 2022 and, according to Republicans, offer more money for low-income seniors and less for the wealthy. "Our social safety net is fraying at the seams," Ryan said Tuesday. Democrats have been quick to pounce on Ryan's budget, accusing him of sparing oil and gas subsidies at the expense of seniors. 

"Paul Ryan made clear that the Republican budget will protect Big Oil companies subsidies over seniors health care," Jesse Ferguson, spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said in a statement over the weekend. "It's already becoming clear who will be the priority in the House Republican budget -- special interests, not middle-class families." 
Fox News' Chad Pergram contributed to this report.

Paul Ryan, Jeff Sessions Warn Obama's Budget Could Spur Greek-Style Debt Crisis

WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama's $3.8 trillion budget plan does nothing to address mounting debt and could lead the country into a European-style crisis, key congressional Republicans said Monday.
"Again, the president has ducked responsibility. He has failed to take any credible action" to address the debt crisis, House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) said on a conference call. "All we're getting here is more spending, more borrowing and more debt that will lead to slower economic growth. This is not a fiscal plan to save America from a debt crisis. It's a political plan for the president's reelection."

Obama's budget proposal, released Monday morning, maps out $4 trillion in deficit reduction but spends trillions of dollars on Democrats' priority areas, namely education, infrastructure and transportation. At least $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction would come through raising taxes on the wealthy and removing certain corporate tax breaks.

Senate Budget Committee ranking member Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.), also on the press call, said Obama's budget is "exceedingly deceptive" because it actually creates $11 trillion in new debt. Obama is relying on "budget gimmicks" to claim $4 trillion in deficit reduction, he said, when the reality is his plan would only achieve $273 billion in deficit reduction over 10 years.

"Next year, the United States could be like Greece," Sessions continued, referring to the severe debt crisis faced by that country as a result of uncontrolled government spending. Ryan similarly warns on the House Budget Committee website: "The President's budget ignores the drivers of our debt, bringing America perilously close to a European-style crisis."

The reality is Obama's budget will not pass Congress and was not ever really intended to do so. It serves more as an outline of Democratic Party priorities and convenient talking points in the lead-up to the November elections. It also gives congressional Republicans something specific to point to, and trash, as they push their own policies ahead of the elections.

Republicans are already criticizing Obama for using what they consider to be accounting tricks to conceal how much money he is really spending. They object to his plan to repeal $1.2 trillion in Budget Control Act cuts without counting that as new spending; his proposal to stop planned cuts to Medicare doctors without identifying how he will offset the costs; and his taking of credit for discretionary caps that are already law. Republicans are also ripping Obama for saying he is saving nearly $1 trillion over the next decade from winding down the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Counting that money as "savings" is a gimmick, they say, because those funds would never have been spent.

"All of that is borrowed," Sessions said. "It's not as if there's extra money in a pot; you just have to keep borrowing. Is it acceptable for the president of the United States to mislead the American people as he's now done again?"

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Paul Ryan’s path to nowhere
By Matt Miller, Wednesday, March 21, 8:48 AM @mattmillernow

“Why don’t you balance the budget at 24 percent [of GDP] instead of 19 percent?” I asked.
“I think it would do damage to the economy,” Rep. Paul Ryan replied.
A senior fellow at the Center for American Progress and co-host of public radio’s “Left, Right & Center,” Miller writes a weekly column for The Post.

This simple exchange from a conversation I had with Ryan in his office last October captures the uber-debate the country needs to have. That is, once we get done dissecting the deceptions, hypocrisies and regressive priorities in the Wisconsin Republican’s latest blueprint.

For starters, Ryan’s assumption that higher levels of spending and taxation would automatically hurt the economy can’t be right. If it were, America would be a poorer country today than it was a hundred years ago, when the federal government taxed and spent less than 5 percent of gross domestic product. But we’re obviously vastly wealthier. That doesn’t mean there isn’t a limit beyond which higher taxes and spending would hurt. Just that we’re not close to that point. How can we be, when President Reagan ran government at 22 percent of GDP?

Federal spending has gone from recent norms of about 20 percent of GDP to 24 percent under President Obama, thanks to the lagging economy and spending on things like the stimulus and unemployment insurance. Ryan wants to get it back to 20 percent in the next few years and return taxes to their more recent norms of 19 percent, up from today’s recession-depleted 15 percent. (The nonpartisan Tax Policy Center said Tuesday that Ryan’s proposals would in fact fall dramatically short of 19 percent, but leave that aside for the moment.)

At first blush, Ryan’s plan sounds perfectly reasonable — until you remember that we’re about to retire 76 million baby boomers. “I think the historic size [of government as a share of GDP] is about right, or smaller,” Ryan told me that day.

“But how can that be,” I asked, “when we’re doubling the number of seniors” on Social Security and Medicare, the biggest federal programs. “Because we can’t keep doing everything for everybody in this country,” he said. “We should trim down a lot of other stuff we’re doing.” This was unintentionally revealing. Ryan has sounded this theme before. “We are at a moment,” Ryan said in his State of the Union response in 2011, “where if government’s growth is left unchecked and unchallenged . . . we will transform our social safety net into a hammock, which lulls able-bodied people into lives of complacency and dependency.”

But what hammock is Ryan talking about? The only thing slated to grow the size of government in the years ahead is the retirement of the baby boomers. The doubling of the number of people eligible for Social Security and Medicare is what is driving all the increase in federal spending — along with the spiral in system-wide health costs, which afflicts Medicare along with all privately financed health care.
If those programs for seniors haven’t been a “hammock” until now, simply doubling the number of people eligible for them can’t turn them into a “hammock” tomorrow. When it comes to fiscal policy, we have an aging population challenge, and a health-cost challenge. We don’t have a “hammock” challenge.

Ryan's Budget Plan Could Cause Problems within Both Parties: Paul Ryan's budget plan--which slashes everything from Medicare to corporate tax codes--may not sit too well with both Democrats and Republicans

Alex M. Parker U.S. News & World Report
March 21, 2012
Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan's budget plan is bold, but it may not be bold enough for some conservative groups and members.

The budget plan, announced Tuesday, would change Medicare into a voucher-based system, drastically overhaul the tax code, repeal Obama's healthcare reform and scale back many social welfare programs by converting them into block grants.

Despite the large swath of items the plan touches upon, it would still take nearly 30 years to balance the budget and start paying down the national debt. While it would cut the deficit more than President Obama's budget proposal released earlier this year, it still may provoke some backlash among those hoping for something bolder.

The conservative group Club for Growth, an influential anti-tax organization with a history of giving incumbent Republicans heartburn with competitive primary challenges, previously warned against a budget which didn't balance the debt within a 10-year window.

"Balancing the budget within 10 years or less is vital to restoring confidence in America's financial future and to avoid the fate of other nations that are crippled by enormous debt," the organization said in a statement issued last week. "The Club for Growth is Strongly concerned that any budget that does not balance with this reasonable timeframe is simply an exercise in futility." The Club for Growth has yet to issue a statement yet on the newly unveiled budget.

When asked about the date, Ryan blamed the data crunchers at the Congressional Budget Office for failing to take into account the economic gains from his tax policies. That's the so-called "dynamic scoring" which conservatives have often clamored for, although Democratic critics claim that it's a budget fantasy to make tax cuts look less costly than they really are. Ryan's plan doesn't cut overall taxes, but it includes revenue-neutral tax reform, which would drastically simplify both individual income tax rates and the corporate tax code, reducing rates while also eliminating many tax deductions and credits.

With Democrats sure to oppose the budget in lockstep, Republicans can't afford to lose many of their own. Already, the Republican leadership was forced to sharpen the discretionary budget cuts after more conservative members found them lacking.

The budget resolution doesn't go the president's desk or become law, but it is a crucial step of the often complex formal Congressional budgeting process. For the past several years, it's been overlooked in favor of budget standoffs and last-second deals, and it's also become a valuable political campaign document for both sides of the aisle.

The plan is also enraging Democrats, who say the GOP is failing to follow through on a deal struck last summer on overall discretionary spending levels. The fight over the debt ceiling originally called for a $1.047 trillion discretionary spending limit. Ryan's plan sets a lower figure at $917 billion.

"A majority of the Republican conference in the House voted for the [Budget Control Act] as did one half of the Democratic caucus," said Norm Dicks, the ranking Democrat on the House Appropriations Committee. "Republicans now find it difficult to pass a budget resolution at the BCA level. But an agreement set in law does not become null and void just because it is politically inconvenient."

Unlike the bulk of the budget plan, this isn't just for show. If passed by the House, Ryan's budget spending levels would be used in negotiations with the Senate under the normal appropriations process--which both sides have agreed to. With Democrats not in the mood to budge, the difference sets up a possible, though still unlikely, election-season showdown on Sept. 30, when current funding is set to expire.

Ryan claimed that his budget simply took into account the so-called defense sequester--automatic spending cuts which were triggered in November by the failure of the so-called "Super Committee." His budget would call for those cuts to be spread from defense spending to other areas such as agriculture, with individual committees assigned to find the savings in their own budgets.

"We think it's being honest with people," Ryan said.

Ryan's mystery meat budget
House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) released a fiscal plan that promises trillions of dollars in tax cuts and a nearly balanced budget within a decade, but never says how he'd get there. 
By Howard GleckmanGuest blogger / March 21, 2012

I am weary of mystery meat.  The latest serving was dished out yesterday by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI), who released a fiscal plan that airily promises both trillions of dollars in tax cuts and a nearly balanced budget within a decade, but never says how he’d get there.

Ryan isn’t saying that his budget implies cuts of $4.6 trillion in popular tax deductions, credits, and exclusions over 10 years, according to new estimates by the Tax Policy Center. And that ignores the $5.4 trillion in revenue lost from permanently extending the 2001/2003 tax cuts. 

Ryan proposes big, specific spending reductions such as cutting Medicaid in half and slashing other federal spending (except for Social SecurityMedicare, and Medicaid) by nearly 75 percent from current levels by 2050. But his budget still can’t add up without eliminating or sharply scaling back those popular tax preferences. Which ones, it seems, remain a state secret.  

Ryan rolled out a 2013 budget that promises to replace the current individual rate structure with just two rates– 10 percent and 25 percent. He’d repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax and abolish the tax increases included in the 2010 health law. For business, he’d lower the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 25 percent and shift to a territorial tax system, where multinationals would owe no U.S. tax on foreign earnings.

All of this would reduce tax revenues by trillions of dollars over 10 years. The Tax Policy Center estimates that a similar corporate rate cut, AMT repeal, and a two-rate individual system would reduce revenues by about $4.5 trillion through 2022, even after accounting for the $5.4 trillion cost of extending the 2001/2003 tax cuts. In 2022 alone, a Ryan-like plan would reduce revenues by about $600 billion.

To put it another way, TPC figures such a tax package would generate revenues of about 15.8 percent of Gross Domestic Product in 2022. His budget aims to collect about 18.7 percent. That means he’d have to find about $700 billion in new revenues by cutting tax preferences.   

Keep in mind that TPC did not model the actual Ryan plan, since it is not specific enough to estimate. Instead, we looked at a plan with the elements of his proposal.   
       
But the rough numbers are stark. And Ryan, who knows better, studiously avoids naming names when it comes to eliminating tax preferences. Oh, his budget includes a convincing and articulate explanation about what’s wrong with a tax system with high rates and a narrow base. He just doesn’t say what he’d do about it.

There is a disquieting echo here of President Obama, who so recently did such a great job explaining what’s wrong with our corporate tax system. The president happily proposed a politically popular cut in corporate rates to 28 percent, but identified offsetting tax increases that would cover only a fraction of the cost.

All of the major GOP presidential candidates have played the same black box game—promising huge rate cuts without ever saying how they’d pay for them.

Ryan asserts there is “an emerging bipartisan consensus for tax reform that lowers rates, broadens the tax base, and promotes growth and job creation.” Actually, he’s wrong. There is an emerging bipartisan consensus to embrace lower rates without ever saying how to pay for them.

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Howard Gleckman, Contributor
I'm author of the book Caring for Our Parents, and at Urban Institute
 What the House GOP Budget Means for Seniors
The fiscal plan proposed yesterday by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) would profoundly change the way seniors and younger adults with disabilities receive health care and personal assistance.

For many programs, it would reduce funding from today’s levels even though the population of those over 65 will double by mid-century. In many ways, it would end the Great Society’s vision of a federal safety net for these vulnerable populations and place the burden of their care on states or their families.
This budget will pass the House sometime in the next few weeks. And make no mistake, though it has no chance of becoming law, this plan will be a touchstone in what will be a game-changing debate over federal deficits and the role of government.

The House Republican budget would do the following:
Medicare: It would replace traditional Medicare with subsidies that seniors would use to buy insurance on the individual market. It would raise the age of eligibility from 65 to 67. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the federal government would spend about one-third less on Medicare by mid-century than it would under current federal policies. That means health spending would become remarkably efficient or seniors themselves would pay more.

The Affordable Care Act: It would repeal the 2010 health law, including its important initiatives aimed at better integrating care for seniors and others with chronic disease.
Medicaid: Instead of automatic federal funding for a share of this program, states would receive only an annual grant, which Congress could adjust at will. In return, states would have the flexibility to operate Medicaid as they choose. CBO projects that by mid-century federal funding for Medicaid would be only half what it is today as a share of the economy, and less than one-quarter of what it would be under today’s policies. The budget would cut planned Medicaid funding by $800 billion over 10 years.

The Ryan budget does not mention, or appear to recognize, the important role Medicaid plays in financing long-term care supports for the frail elderly and younger people with disabilities, even though it pays more than 40 percent of these costs and these services represent a third of its budget.

Non-Medicaid services: These critical supports for those receiving care at home, such as transportation, nutrition, and counseling, as well as caregiver assistance—already under severe budget pressure– would take the biggest hit. While the budget outline does not make specific program cuts, it would likely mean federal funding for most of these programs would be entirely eliminated. Some programs would be turned over to the states. Others would disappear.

If the Republicans win the coming election, the House budget will frame the way they will govern. Not all of it would become law, even under a President Romney or President Santorum, but a lot would.
Even if President Obama is re-elected, services for seniors and the disabled will likely face deep cuts. In last August’s budget debate and in the fiscal plan he proposed in February, Obama showed that he too was willing to sharply slow the growth of programs such as Medicare, Medicaid, and non-Medicaid services.

He’d preserve these programs in their current form, but he’d fund them at much lower levels than under current government policy. The other day, an advocate laughingly dismissed the idea that programs for seniors and others with disabilities will face such dramatic cuts. That attitude is naïve and dangerous. The parameters for the coming budget debate are clear: Substantial cuts in services under an Obama White House or an historic remake of the safety net and even deeper cuts under Republican government.
Either way, seniors, service providers, and their advocates need to prepare for a much different world.
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